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Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 62.8% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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