Latest Clout Research (R) poll in Oregon: Clinton and Trump in a dead heat

Clout Research (R) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Oregon were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

Of those who replied, 43.0% said that they are going to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 40.0% said that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from July 9 to July 13 with 701 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.7 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. In general, one should not be overly confident the results of a single poll. Rather than relying on results from single polls, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

For the following comparison, we translate Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 51.8% for Clinton and 48.2% for Trump.

The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Oregon. That is, the PollyVote is 5.3 points above her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin indicates that this difference is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.