Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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