Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump in Washington, D.C..

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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