Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead
The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump in Washington, D.C..
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..