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FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell poll in Michigan: Trump trails by a slight margin

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FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Michigan were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell poll results
49

Clinton

44

Trump

Of those who replied, 49.0% said that they will vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% declared that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 27 to September 27 with 1956 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-2.2 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Single polls often include large biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 52.7% for Clinton and 47.3% for Trump. In the latest FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell poll on September 18 Clinton obtained only 50.0%, while Trump obtained 50.0%.

Comparison to other polls

Clinton is currently at 52.7% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent polls in Michigan. This value is 0 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell poll. This deviation is within the poll's error margin, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.1% of the two-party vote in Michigan. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 0.4 points above her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin indicates that this deviation is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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