DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 25.5% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, whereas Trump will win 74.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, don't put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 68.6% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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