The 538 (polls-plus) model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.7% for Clinton, and 49.3% for Trump. In comparison, on September 27 Trump was still predicted to obtain 49.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they often include large biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.6%. This value is 1.1 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
The 538 (polls-plus) model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.3% of the two-party vote. The results of the 538 (polls-plus) model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.