West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will end up with 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 60.6% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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