West Virginia: 27 points lead for Trump in new PPP (D) poll
PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
PPP (D) poll results
Of those who answered the question, 30.0% said that they plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% said that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from April 29 to May 1 with 1201 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-2.8 points. This means that the poll results for the Republican and the Democratic candidate differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be treated with caution, since they can include substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 60.6% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. Hence, the PollyVote is 4.9 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error reveals that this difference is significant.