The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 62.9% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.