North Carolina: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 46.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will end up with 53.6%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 53.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 50.8% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.