North Carolina: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 46.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will win 53.6%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 50.9% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 2.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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