Kentucky: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 61.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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