The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 47.2% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will end up with 52.8%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 50.8% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.