Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 68.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.