DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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