DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often include large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.