Washington, D.C.: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they may contain large biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..