The Vox.Com model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 49.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 50.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 50.3%. This value is 0.6 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Vox.Com model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 47.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Vox.Com model.