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Vox.Com model shows Trump in the lead

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The Vox.Com model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 49.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 50.9%.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of econometric models, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 50.3%. This value is 0.6 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Vox.Com model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 47.6% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Vox.Com model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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