The Lockerbie model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 50.4% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 49.6%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 49.7%. This value is 0.7 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Lockerbie model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Lockerbie model.