Latest Quinnipiac poll in Georgia: Trump holds marginal lead

Results of a new poll conducted by Quinnipiac were released. The poll asked respondents from Georgia for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

The results show that 44.0% of interviewees will vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 50.0% will vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 13 to September 21 with 659 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.9 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be too confident the results of a single poll. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 46.8% for Clinton and 53.2% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote in Georgia. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 0.4 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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