JMC Analytics released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Georgia were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
JMC Analytics poll results
Of those who answered the question, 38.0% said that they are going to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 44.0% declared that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from September 20 to September 22. A total of 600 likely voters responded. There is a sampling error of +/-4.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single poll. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 46.3% for Clinton and 53.7% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote in Georgia. Hence, the PollyVote is 0.9 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's sampling error.