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Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect 64.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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