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Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

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The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump in Washington, D.C.. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 13.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 90.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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