The Jérôme & Jérôme model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently runs at 49.7% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. When compared to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.4 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.
The Jérôme & Jérôme model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.4% and Trump 47.6% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 2.3 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.