Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 29.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 68.1% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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