WSB-TV published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Georgia were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
WSB-TV poll results
The results show that 43.0% of interviewees are going to give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 47.0% are going to give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from September 21 to September 22 with 600 likely voters. The error margin is +/-4.0 points. This means that the poll results for both parties' candidates do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls can include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.
For the following analysis, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 47.8% for Clinton and 52.2% for Trump. For comparison: 48.9% was gained by Clinton in the WSB-TV poll on July 24, for Trump this number was only 51.1%.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote in Georgia. That is, the PollyVote is 0.6 points above his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's error margin.