The Fiscal model model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 48.2% for Clinton, and 51.8% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they can include substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 50.3%. In comparison to numbers in the Fiscal model model Trump's econometric model average is 1.5 percentage points worse.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 47.6% of the two-party vote. The results of the Fiscal model model for Trump are thus 4.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.