The Fair model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 44.0% for Clinton, and 56.0% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Trump currently runs at 50.3% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. This value is 5.7 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Fair model.
The Fair model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 47.6% of the two-party vote. The results of the Fair model for Trump are thus 8.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.