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Elway poll in Washington: Clinton with solid lead

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Elway released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Washington were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Elway poll results
43

Clinton

24

Trump

According to the results, 43.0% of participants indicated that they would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 24.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from August 9 to August 13, among a random sample of 500 registered voters. If one takes into account the poll's margin of error of +/-4.5 percentage points, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not have too much confidence in the results of an individual poll. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in values of 64.2% for Clinton and 35.8% for Trump.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 56.5% of the two-party vote in Washington. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 7.7 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore outside the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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