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DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 68.7% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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