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DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 66.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 60.6% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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