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DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 33.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 62.9% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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