The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 33.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 62.9% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.