The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, because they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.