The Bio-index model enters the index models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 58.3% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 41.7%.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models may contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
If we look at an average of index models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 53.4%. Compared to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 4.9 percentage points worse.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.