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Bio-index model: Clinton is in the lead

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The Bio-index model enters the index models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 58.3% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 41.7%.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models may contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other index models

If we look at an average of index models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 53.4%. Compared to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 4.9 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 5.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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