The Big-issue model enters the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.1% for Clinton, and 48.9% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single index models, as they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
An average of recent index models has Clinton at 53.4% of the two-party vote. Relative to numbers in the Big-issue index model Clinton's index model average is 2.3 percentage points higher.
The Big-issue model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote. The results of the Big-issue model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.