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5 points lead for Clinton in latest NBC News poll


Results of a new national poll carried out by NBC News were announced. The poll asked respondents for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.

NBC News poll results




Of those who answered the question, 50.0% said that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 45.0% revealed that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was in the field between September 12 and September 18. The sample size was 1332 participants. The error margin is +/-1.2 points, which means that the levels of voter support for the Democratic and the Republican candidate differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls often incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 52.6% for Clinton and 47.4% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Clinton currently runs at 51.6% of the two-party vote in an average of recent polls. Relative to numbers in the NBC News poll Clinton's poll average is 1 percentage point worse. This deviation is within the poll's error margin, which means that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote. That is, the combined PollyVote is 0.2 points below polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error shows that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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