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North Carolina: Tossup between Trump and Clinton in new Elon*Elon* poll

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Results of a new poll carried out by ElonElon were published. The poll asked respondents from North Carolina for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.

ElonElon poll results
43

Clinton

44

Trump

According to the results, 43.0% of interviewees plan to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 44.0% plan to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 12 to September 16. A total of 644 likely voters responded. The margin of error is +/-3.9 points, which means that the levels of voter support for the candidates of both parties do not differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 49.4% for Clinton and 50.6% for Trump.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 50.0% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. Hence, the combined PollyVote is 0.6 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error indicates that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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