Suffolk University released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from North Carolina were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Suffolk University poll results
Of those who answered the question, 41.0% said that they intend to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 44.0% said that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from September 5 to September 7 with 500 likely voters. Taking into account the poll's error margin of +/-4.4 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls often incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 48.2% for Clinton and 51.8% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 50.0% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. This means that the combined PollyVote is 1.8 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error suggests that this deviation is negligible.