Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 86.4% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 13.6%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may incorporate substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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