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FOX News poll in North Carolina: Clinton trails by 5 points

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FOX News released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from North Carolina were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

FOX News poll results
42

Clinton

47

Trump

According to the results, 42.0% of participants indicated that they would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 47.0% would vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 18 to September 20 with 734 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. In general, don't be too confident the results of a single poll. Rather than relying on results from single polls, you should use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 47.2% for Clinton and 52.8% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 50.0% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. Hence, the PollyVote is 2.8 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin shows that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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