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DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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