DeSart model: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.