DeSart model: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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