West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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