West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.