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WBUR/MassINC poll in Massachusetts: Trump trails by a overwhelming margin

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WBUR/MassINC released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

WBUR/MassINC poll results
60

Clinton

31

Trump

Of those who answered the question, 60.0% said that they will vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 31.0% said that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 7 to September 10 with 506 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.4 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be regarded with caution, as they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to use combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields figures of 65.9% for Clinton and 34.1% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of Massachusetts polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 63.2%. Relative to her numbers in the WBUR/MassINC poll Clinton's poll average is 2.7 percentage points lower. This difference is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 63.9% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. This means that the combined PollyVote is 2.0 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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