The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 47.2% for Clinton, and 52.8% for Trump in North Carolina. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 52.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 50.0% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.