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North Carolina: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 47.2% for Clinton, and 52.8% for Trump in North Carolina. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 52.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 50.0% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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