Jerome model: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 86.4% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 13.6%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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