The Issue-index model is included in the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 56.6% for Clinton, and 43.4% for Trump. In comparison, on September 1, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 43.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
Clinton currently runs at 53.4% of the two-party vote in an average of recent index models. This value is 3.2 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Issue-index index model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issue-index model for Clinton are thus 4.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.