The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will end up with 29.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 66.5% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.