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DeSart model in North Carolina: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 46.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will win 53.6%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 53.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 50.0% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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