The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 46.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will win 53.6%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 53.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 50.0% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.