The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they can include large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.